Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓59% · @1.56
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the Super League brings Beijing Guoan against Dalian Zhixing at Beijing Workers' Stadium. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Dalian Zhixing are 1st (leading the league) with 52. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Beijing Guoan, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Yunnan Yukun, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dalian Zhixing, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chongqing Tongliang Long, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dalian Zhixing, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Beijing Guoan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.0 xG, Dalian Zhixing 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 59%, draw 22%, Dalian Zhixing 19%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 1–1 Dalian Zhixing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beijing Guoan59%fair 1.71 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
Dalian Zhixing19%fair 5.26 · @4.85
3.15Expected goals
1.99Beijing Guoan xG
1.16Dalian Zhixing xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.0 – 1.2 Dalian Zhixing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
59%
1.71
1.56
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Dalian Zhixing +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DWDLLD
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dalian Zhixing – last 6
WLWWWW
1 May
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–3
L
22 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hangzhou Greentown
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Dalian Zhixing.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dalian Zhixing 19%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 1–1 Dalian Zhixing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
