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Shanghai Shenhua v Chongqing Tongliang Long: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Shanghai Stadium
Shanghai Shenhua 59%Draw 24%Chongqing Tongliang Long 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.90
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗59% · @1.50
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✓83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long travel to face Shanghai Shenhua on Saturday 9 May in the Super League, with Shanghai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:35 WAT. In the table, Shanghai Shenhua are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36.

Current form

Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Shandong Luneng, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Henan Jianye, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 59%, draw 24%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shanghai Shenhua59%fair 1.69 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.10
Chongqing Tongliang Long17%fair 5.97 · @5.60
2.71Expected goals
1.81Shanghai Shenhua xG
0.90Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 – 0.9 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗59%1.691.50
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✓83%1.201.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.73
Draw no betShanghai Shenhua (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapChongqing Tongliang Long +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreShanghai Shenhua to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultShanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Shanghai Shenhua – last 6

LLWWWD
5 May@ Shandong Luneng1–4L
1 Mayvs Chengdu Better City2–3L
26 Apr@ Henan Jianye3–0W
22 Aprvs Qingdao Jonoon2–0W
5 Apr@ Tianjin Teda3–2W
21 Mar@ Beijing Guoan1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DLDWWW
5 Mayvs Henan Jianye1–1D
1 May@ Dalian Zhixing0–1L
26 Aprvs Qingdao Youth Island1–1D
21 Apr@ SHANGHAI SIPG2–1W
17 Aprvs Sichuan Jiuniu2–0W
5 Apr@ Hangzhou Greentown1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shanghai Shenhua and Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 17%.

How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.