Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Dalian Zhixing to win @ 2.80 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDalian Zhixing to win ✗44% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Super League brings Qingdao Jonoon against Dalian Zhixing at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Qingdao Jonoon are 16th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 30 matches; Dalian Zhixing are 1st (leading the league) with 52. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wuhan Three Towns, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Dalian Zhixing, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Beijing Guoan, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Jonoon 1.2 xG, Dalian Zhixing 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Jonoon 33%, draw 23%, Dalian Zhixing 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Dalian Zhixing to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Dalian Zhixing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Jonoon33%fair 3.04 · @2.26
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.45
Dalian Zhixing44%fair 2.27 · @2.80
3.01Expected goals
1.23Qingdao Jonoon xG
1.78Dalian Zhixing xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 1.2 – 1.8 Dalian Zhixing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dalian Zhixing to win✗
44%
2.27
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Draw no bet
Dalian Zhixing (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Jonoon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Dalian Zhixing to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dalian Zhixing / FT Dalian Zhixing✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
WWWLDD
6 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
2 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dalian Zhixing – last 6
LWLWWW
6 May
@ Beijing Guoan
0–3
L
1 May
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–3
L
22 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hangzhou Greentown
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Dalian Zhixing.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dalian Zhixing 44%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Dalian Zhixing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Dalian Zhixing (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
