Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗61% · @1.71
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Henan Jianye travel to face Beijing Guoan on Saturday 23 May in the Super League, with Beijing Workers' Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:35 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Henan Jianye are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Beijing Guoan, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Qingdao Youth Island, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Henan Jianye, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tianjin Teda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.1 xG, Henan Jianye 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 61%, draw 21%, Henan Jianye 18%.
Lower-risk option: Beijing Guoan or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Henan Jianye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beijing Guoan61%fair 1.64 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Henan Jianye18%fair 5.60 · @4.20
3.11Expected goals
2.11Beijing Guoan xG
0.99Henan Jianye xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.1 – 1.0 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
61%
1.64
1.71
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Beijing Guoan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DDWDWD
19 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
10 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–0
W
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
WLDWLD
19 May
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
9 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–3
L
5 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Henan Jianye 18%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
