Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 July the Super League brings Shandong Luneng against Yunnan Yukun at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT. In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Yunnan Yukun are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Beijing Guoan, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Yunnan Yukun, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Henan Jianye, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 2.5 xG, Yunnan Yukun 1.6 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 59%, draw 18%, Yunnan Yukun 23%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Yunnan Yukun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @4.10
Yunnan Yukun23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
4.08Expected goals
2.53Shandong Luneng xG
1.56Yunnan Yukun xG
69%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.5 – 1.6 Yunnan Yukun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Draw no bet
Shandong Luneng (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Yunnan Yukun +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.38
First team to score
Shandong Luneng to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Shandong Luneng – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Jul
@ Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Shenyang Urban
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Guangxi Hengchen
5–0
W
30 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
24 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
3–3
D
20 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
WLWDLD
3 Jul
vs Henan Jianye
2–1
W
26 Jun
@ Qingdao Jonoon
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Suzhou Dongwu
4–2
W
31 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
24 May
vs Qingdao Youth Island
2–3
L
20 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Yunnan Yukun.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Yunnan Yukun 23%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Yunnan Yukun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun (Super League) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
