Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 2.96 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beijing Guoan travel to face Shanghai Shenhua on Tuesday 18 August in the Super League, with Shanghai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:35 WAT. In the table, Shanghai Shenhua are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Henan Jianye, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Tianjin Teda, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Shanghai Shenhua.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Beijing Guoan 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 44%, draw 19%, Beijing Guoan 36%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Beijing Guoan to win @2.96 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shanghai Shenhua44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.95
Beijing Guoan36%fair 2.74 · @2.96
3.43Expected goals
1.81Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.62Beijing Guoan xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 – 1.6 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Beijing Guoan 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
