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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beijing Guoan v Shenyang Urban: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Beijing Workers' Stadium
1–1
FT
Beijing Guoan 69%Draw 19%Shenyang Urban 12% Expected goals 2.58 – 1.02
69%
Betarazi pick

Beijing Guoan to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗69% · @1.34
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shenyang Urban travel to face Beijing Guoan on Friday 17 July in the Super League, with Beijing Workers' Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:35 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Shenyang Urban are 13th (lower half) with 29. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shandong Luneng, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Shenyang Urban, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chongqing Tongliang Long, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Shenyang Urban 2–1 Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.6 xG, Shenyang Urban 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 69%, draw 19%, Shenyang Urban 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan to win (69%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shenyang Urban. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan69%fair 1.44 · @1.34
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.50
Shenyang Urban12%fair 8.25 · @8.00
3.60Expected goals
2.58Beijing Guoan xG
1.02Shenyang Urban xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.6 – 1.0 Shenyang Urban expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✗69%1.441.34
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapBeijing Guoan -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 6

WWWWLD
4 Julvs Shandong Luneng2–0W
27 Junvs Wuhan Three Towns1–0W
19 Jun@ Guangzhou E-Power2–1W
30 May@ Chongqing Tongliang Long3–2W
23 Mayvs Henan Jianye1–2L
19 May@ Qingdao Youth Island1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shenyang Urban – last 6

WLLWWW
4 Julvs Chongqing Tongliang Long3–1W
27 Junvs Shandong Luneng1–5L
19 Jun@ Dalian Kewei0–1L
29 Mayvs SHANGHAI SIPG3–2W
24 May@ Hangzhou Greentown5–0W
20 Mayvs Qingdao Jonoon2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Shenyang Urban v Beijing Guoan2–1
Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban?

Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Shenyang Urban 12%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shenyang Urban, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban?

Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.