Chongqing Tongliang Long v Hangzhou Greentown Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHangzhou Greentown to win ✗38% · @2.36

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Chongqing Tongliang Long v Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League, played at Tongliang Long Stadium. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Hangzhou Greentown are 9th (lower half) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chengdu Better City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hangzhou Greentown, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Qingdao Jonoon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chongqing Tongliang Long, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Hangzhou Greentown.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Hangzhou Greentown 0–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.4 xG, Hangzhou Greentown 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 37%, draw 25%, Hangzhou Greentown 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Hangzhou Greentown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chongqing Tongliang Long37%fair 2.70 · @2.62

Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50

Hangzhou Greentown38%fair 2.65 · @2.36

2.73Expected goals

1.36Chongqing Tongliang Long xG

1.37Hangzhou Greentown xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.4 – 1.4 Hangzhou Greentown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hangzhou Greentown to win ✗	38%	2.65	2.36
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.34	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.48
Draw no bet	Hangzhou Greentown (draw no bet)	50%	1.98	–
Asian handicap	Chongqing Tongliang Long +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Hangzhou Greentown to score first ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hangzhou Greentown / FT Hangzhou Greentown ✗	22%	4.63	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.05	–

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DLWWLW

11 Jul	@ Chengdu Better City	1–1	D
4 Jul	@ Shenyang Urban	1–3	L
27 Jun	vs Tianjin Teda	1–0	W
20 Jun	@ Ningbo Professional	2–0	W
30 May	vs Beijing Guoan	2–3	L
24 May	@ Qingdao Jonoon	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Hangzhou Greentown – last 6

WLLDWL

14 Jul	vs Qingdao Jonoon	3–2	W
5 Jul	@ Shanghai Shenhua	2–3	L
28 Jun	@ Qingdao Youth Island	1–3	L
19 Jun	@ Shaanxi Union	1–1	D
30 May	@ Henan Jianye	2–0	W
24 May	vs Shenyang Urban	0–5	L

1.5Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dalian Zhixing	30	16	4	10	+5	52
2	Chengdu Better City	30	15	7	8	+15	52
3	Beijing Guoan	30	15	10	5	+22	50
4	Shandong Luneng	30	16	5	9	+11	47
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	30	14	8	8	+19	45
6	Yunnan Yukun	30	12	7	11	-2	43
7	Shanghai Shenhua	30	15	5	10	+17	40
8	Qingdao Youth Island	30	8	15	7	-10	39
9	Hangzhou Greentown	30	12	6	12	+1	37
10	Chongqing Tongliang Long	30	8	12	10	-4	36
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	30	9	6	15	-12	33
12	Tianjin Teda	30	11	8	11	+2	31
13	Shenyang Urban	30	8	5	17	-16	29
14	Henan Jianye	30	8	10	12	-8	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	30	5	12	13	-12	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	30	6	4	20	-28	15

Team

Pts

+15

+22

+11

+19

-2

+17

-10

Chongqing Tongliang Long

-4

-12

-16

-8

-12

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?

On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hangzhou Greentown 38%.

How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Hangzhou Greentown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chongqing Tongliang Long v Hangzhou Greentown: numbers & prediction