Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗57% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Henan Jianye travel to face Shandong Luneng on Sunday 26 July in the Super League, with Jinan Olympic Sports Center the venue – the ball rolls at 12:35 WAT. In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Henan Jianye are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wuhan Three Towns, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Henan Jianye, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dalian Zhixing, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shandong Luneng, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Henan Jianye.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 2.2 xG, Henan Jianye 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 57%, draw 19%, Henan Jianye 23%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Shandong Luneng to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Henan Jianye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng57%fair 1.75 · @1.94
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.85
Henan Jianye23%fair 4.29 · @3.15
3.41Expected goals
2.16Shandong Luneng xG
1.24Henan Jianye xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.2 – 1.2 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
57%
1.75
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Draw no bet
Shandong Luneng (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Henan Jianye +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
First team to score
Shandong Luneng to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Shandong Luneng – last 6
DLWLWW
21 Jul
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Yunnan Yukun
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Shenyang Urban
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Guangxi Hengchen
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
DWLLWL
21 Jul
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Qingdao Jonoon
5–1
W
3 Jul
@ Yunnan Yukun
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
19 Jun
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
2–0
W
30 May
vs Hangzhou Greentown
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Henan Jianye 23%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
