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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beijing Guoan v Hangzhou Greentown: numbers & prediction

Super League · China
2–1
FT
Beijing Guoan 61%Draw 21%Hangzhou Greentown 18% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.31
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.77

Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Beijing Guoan welcome Hangzhou Greentown for a Super League fixture on Saturday 1 August (12:35 WAT). In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Hangzhou Greentown are 9th (lower half) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chengdu Better City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Hangzhou Greentown, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dalian Zhixing, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Hangzhou Greentown.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Hangzhou Greentown 0–0 Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.4 xG, Hangzhou Greentown 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 61%, draw 21%, Hangzhou Greentown 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Beijing Guoan or draw (82%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Hangzhou Greentown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.40
Hangzhou Greentown18%fair 5.42 · @4.60
3.68Expected goals
2.37Beijing Guoan xG
1.31Hangzhou Greentown xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.4 – 1.3 Hangzhou Greentown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✓61%1.641.55
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓82%1.231.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.36
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapBeijing Guoan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.981.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.77–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 6

DWDWWW
26 Jul@ Chengdu Better City2–2D
21 Jul@ Dalian Kewei2–1W
17 Julvs Shenyang Urban1–1D
4 Julvs Shandong Luneng2–0W
27 Junvs Wuhan Three Towns1–0W
19 Jun@ Guangzhou E-Power2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hangzhou Greentown – last 6

WDWLLD
26 Julvs Dalian Zhixing3–2W
18 Jul@ Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1D
14 Julvs Qingdao Jonoon3–2W
5 Jul@ Shanghai Shenhua2–3L
28 Jun@ Qingdao Youth Island1–3L
19 Jun@ Shaanxi Union1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Hangzhou Greentown v Beijing Guoan0–0
Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hangzhou Greentown 18%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Hangzhou Greentown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown?

Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.