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Beijing Guoan v Sichuan Jiuniu: numbers & prediction

Super League · China
4–0
FT
Beijing Guoan 67%Draw 18%Sichuan Jiuniu 15% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.05
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:35 WAT, Friday 7 August: Beijing Guoan v Sichuan Jiuniu in the Super League. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th (lower half) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hangzhou Greentown, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sichuan Jiuniu, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chongqing Tongliang Long, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Sichuan Jiuniu.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Sichuan Jiuniu 0–1 Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.3 xG, Sichuan Jiuniu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 67%, draw 18%, Sichuan Jiuniu 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Sichuan Jiuniu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan67%fair 1.50 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.90
Sichuan Jiuniu15%fair 6.63 · @6.75
3.39Expected goals
2.34Beijing Guoan xG
1.05Sichuan Jiuniu xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.3 – 1.1 Sichuan Jiuniu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✓67%1.501.35
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓85%1.181.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.55
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapBeijing Guoan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.381.33
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 6

WDWDWW
1 Augvs Hangzhou Greentown2–1W
26 Jul@ Chengdu Better City2–2D
21 Jul@ Dalian Kewei2–1W
17 Julvs Shenyang Urban1–1D
4 Julvs Shandong Luneng2–0W
27 Junvs Wuhan Three Towns1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sichuan Jiuniu – last 6

WLDLWL
2 Augvs Chongqing Tongliang Long2–0W
26 Jul@ Yunnan Yukun3–4L
21 Jul@ SHANGHAI SIPG1–1D
18 Jul@ Wuhan Three Towns0–2L
11 Julvs Qingdao Youth Island3–0W
4 Jul@ Tianjin Teda0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Sichuan Jiuniu v Beijing Guoan0–1
Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sichuan Jiuniu 15%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Sichuan Jiuniu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Super League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.