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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shanghai Shenhua v Henan Jianye: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Shanghai Stadium
4–1
FT
Shanghai Shenhua 59%Draw 20%Henan Jianye 21% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.13
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Shanghai Shenhua to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓59% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Henan Jianye travel to face Shanghai Shenhua on Saturday 15 August in the Super League, with Shanghai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Shanghai Shenhua are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Henan Jianye are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qingdao Jonoon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Henan Jianye, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Qingdao Youth Island, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Henan Jianye 0–3 Shanghai Shenhua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 2.0 xG, Henan Jianye 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 59%, draw 20%, Henan Jianye 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.38.
  • Price worth noting: Shanghai Shenhua to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Henan Jianye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shanghai Shenhua59%fair 1.70 · @1.82
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
Henan Jianye21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
3.15Expected goals
2.03Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.13Henan Jianye xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 2.0 – 1.1 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓59%1.701.82 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.38
Draw no betShanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapHenan Jianye +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.731.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.321.30
First team to scoreShanghai Shenhua to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultShanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Shanghai Shenhua – last 6

WLLWLW
8 Aug@ Qingdao Jonoon1–0W
2 Aug@ Shenyang Urban1–3L
25 Jul@ SHANGHAI SIPG0–2L
21 Julvs Qingdao Jonoon4–1W
18 Julvs Tianjin Teda0–2L
5 Julvs Hangzhou Greentown3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Henan Jianye – last 6

DDWDWL
9 Augvs Qingdao Youth Island0–0D
31 Julvs Dalian Zhixing1–1D
26 Jul@ Shandong Luneng2–1W
21 Julvs Dalian Zhixing1–1D
17 Julvs Qingdao Jonoon5–1W
3 Jul@ Yunnan Yukun1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Henan Jianye v Shanghai Shenhua0–3
Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Henan Jianye 21%.

How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.