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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Beijing Workers' Stadium
3–3
FT
Beijing Guoan 63%Draw 22%Yunnan Yukun 15% Expected goals 2.46 – 1.19
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗63% · @1.43
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun in the Super League, played at Beijing Workers' Stadium. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Yunnan Yukun are 6th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Shanghai Shenhua, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Yunnan Yukun, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dalian Zhixing, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Yunnan Yukun.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Yunnan Yukun 3–3 Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.5 xG, Yunnan Yukun 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 63%, draw 22%, Yunnan Yukun 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Yunnan Yukun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan63%fair 1.58 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.60
Yunnan Yukun15%fair 6.70 · @5.70
3.65Expected goals
2.46Beijing Guoan xG
1.19Yunnan Yukun xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.5 – 1.2 Yunnan Yukun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✗63%1.581.43
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.36
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapBeijing Guoan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.501.48
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 6

WWWWDW
18 Aug@ Shanghai Shenhua3–0W
15 Aug@ Tianjin Teda4–2W
7 Augvs Sichuan Jiuniu4–0W
1 Augvs Hangzhou Greentown2–1W
26 Jul@ Chengdu Better City2–2D
21 Jul@ Dalian Kewei2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Yunnan Yukun – last 6

WWLWDD
15 Augvs Dalian Zhixing3–1W
8 Augvs Chengdu Better City1–0W
1 Aug@ Tianjin Teda2–3L
26 Julvs Sichuan Jiuniu4–3W
21 Julvs Chengdu Better City3–3D
17 Julvs SHANGHAI SIPG2–2D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Yunnan Yukun v Beijing Guoan3–3
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yunnan Yukun 15%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Yunnan Yukun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.