Shanghai Shenhua v Shandong Luneng Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗59% · @1.71

Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✗80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.28

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shanghai Shenhua welcome Shandong Luneng to Shanghai Stadium for a Super League fixture on Friday 28 August (12:35 WAT). In the table, Shanghai Shenhua are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Shandong Luneng are 4th (among the top four) with 47.

Current form

Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Chengdu Better City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Shandong Luneng, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Qingdao Youth Island, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Shandong Luneng 4–1 Shanghai Shenhua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 2.4 xG, Shandong Luneng 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 59%, draw 21%, Shandong Luneng 20%.
Lower-risk option: Shanghai Shenhua or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shanghai Shenhua or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Shandong Luneng. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shanghai Shenhua59%fair 1.68 · @1.71

Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.30

Shandong Luneng20%fair 5.00 · @3.70

3.69Expected goals

2.36Shanghai Shenhua xG

1.34Shandong Luneng xG

69%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

3–17%

2–07%

2–26%

1–06%

From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 2.4 – 1.3 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shanghai Shenhua to win ✗	59%	1.68	1.71
Double chance	Shanghai Shenhua or draw ✗	80%	1.25	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	69%	1.45	1.28
Draw no bet	Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) ✗	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Shanghai Shenhua -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	1.48
First team to score	Shanghai Shenhua to score first	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Shanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua ✗	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.82	–

Shanghai Shenhua – last 6

WLWWLL

22 Aug	@ Chengdu Better City	5–4	W
18 Aug	vs Beijing Guoan	0–3	L
15 Aug	vs Henan Jianye	4–1	W
8 Aug	@ Qingdao Jonoon	1–0	W
2 Aug	@ Shenyang Urban	1–3	L
25 Jul	@ SHANGHAI SIPG	0–2	L

1.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Shandong Luneng – last 6

LWWWLD

22 Aug	@ Qingdao Youth Island	0–2	L
14 Aug	vs Qingdao Jonoon	3–1	W
9 Aug	vs Tianjin Teda	2–1	W
1 Aug	@ SHANGHAI SIPG	1–0	W
26 Jul	vs Henan Jianye	1–2	L
21 Jul	@ Wuhan Three Towns	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dalian Zhixing	30	16	4	10	+5	52
2	Chengdu Better City	30	15	7	8	+15	52
3	Beijing Guoan	30	15	10	5	+22	50
4	Shandong Luneng	30	16	5	9	+11	47
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	30	14	8	8	+19	45
6	Yunnan Yukun	30	12	7	11	-2	43
7	Shanghai Shenhua	30	15	5	10	+17	40
8	Qingdao Youth Island	30	8	15	7	-10	39
9	Hangzhou Greentown	30	12	6	12	+1	37
10	Chongqing Tongliang Long	30	8	12	10	-4	36
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	30	9	6	15	-12	33
12	Tianjin Teda	30	11	8	11	+2	31
13	Shenyang Urban	30	8	5	17	-16	29
14	Henan Jianye	30	8	10	12	-8	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	30	5	12	13	-12	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	30	6	4	20	-28	15

Team

Pts

+15

+22

+11

+19

-2

+17

-10

Chongqing Tongliang Long

-4

-12

-16

-8

-12

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

Our pick is Shanghai Shenhua or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shandong Luneng 20%.

How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng?

Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Shanghai Shenhua v Shandong Luneng: numbers & prediction