Value bet: Wuhan Three Towns to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWuhan Three Towns to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceWuhan Three Towns or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Wuhan Three Towns v Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League, played at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium. In the table, Wuhan Three Towns are 15th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Youth Island are 8th (upper half) with 39. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wuhan Three Towns, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Qingdao Jonoon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tianjin Teda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Qingdao Youth Island, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Wuhan Three Towns.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wuhan Three Towns 1.9 xG, Qingdao Youth Island 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wuhan Three Towns 62%, draw 23%, Qingdao Youth Island 15%.
Lower-risk option: Wuhan Three Towns or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Wuhan Three Towns to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wuhan Three Towns62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
Qingdao Youth Island15%fair 6.85 · @3.85
2.74Expected goals
1.92Wuhan Three Towns xG
0.83Qingdao Youth Island xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Wuhan Three Towns 1.9 – 0.8 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Wuhan Three Towns have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qingdao Youth Island 15%.
How many goals will there be in Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
