Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:35 WAT, Friday 9 October: Qingdao Jonoon v Beijing Guoan in the Super League, played at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. In the table, Qingdao Jonoon are 16th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dalian Zhixing, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pohang Steelers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Qingdao Jonoon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Jonoon 0.9 xG, Beijing Guoan 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Jonoon 12%, draw 17%, Beijing Guoan 71%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan to win (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Jonoon12%fair 8.08 · @6.50
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.00
Beijing Guoan71%fair 1.42 · @1.35
3.25Expected goals
0.88Qingdao Jonoon xG
2.37Beijing Guoan xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 0.9 – 2.4 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Beijing Guoan -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
LLLLLL
5 Sep
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–5
L
23 Aug
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Shandong Luneng
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WDWDDW
15 Sep
vs Pohang Steelers
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Rizhao Yuqi
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
18 Aug
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Beijing Guoan 71%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
