Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qingdao Youth Island travel to face Beijing Guoan on Sunday 18 October in the Super League, with Beijing Workers' Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Youth Island are 8th (upper half) with 39.
Current form
Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Buriram United, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dalian Zhixing, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Qingdao Youth Island.
Head to head
When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.1 xG, Qingdao Youth Island 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 69%, draw 19%, Qingdao Youth Island 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beijing Guoan69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
Qingdao Youth Island12%fair 8.49 · @6.00
2.81Expected goals
2.08Beijing Guoan xG
0.73Qingdao Youth Island xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.1 – 0.7 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Qingdao Youth Island 12%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
