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Beijing Guoan v Chongqing Tongliang Long: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Beijing Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan 70%Draw 19%Chongqing Tongliang Long 11% Expected goals 2.25 – 0.79
70%
Betarazi pick

Beijing Guoan to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Super League brings Beijing Guoan against Chongqing Tongliang Long at Beijing Workers' Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th (lower half) with 36. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 4–7 defeat to Port FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Qingdao Jonoon, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–3 Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.3 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 70%, draw 19%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan to win (70%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan70%fair 1.43 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @6.50
Chongqing Tongliang Long11%fair 9.13 · @13.00
3.04Expected goals
2.25Beijing Guoan xG
0.79Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.3 – 0.8 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✓70%1.431.20
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓89%1.121.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.75
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapBeijing Guoan -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.211.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 6

LDWWWW
3 Nov@ Port FC4–7L
27 Octvs Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
24 Oct@ Henan Jianye4–3W
18 Octvs Qingdao Youth Island1–0W
13 Oct@ Buriram United1–0W
9 Oct@ Qingdao Jonoon3–0W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

WDDLLD
24 Octvs Qingdao Jonoon2–0W
17 Oct@ Yunnan Yukun1–1D
11 Octvs Shandong Luneng1–1D
6 Sepvs Shanghai Shenhua1–3L
2 Sep@ Yunnan Yukun0–1L
29 Aug@ Henan Jianye1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long v Beijing Guoan2–3
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 11%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.