Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTombense to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.75
Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tombense welcome Uniao Trabalhadores to Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida for a Mineiro 1 fixture on Friday 20 February (22:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tombense 1.2 xG, Uniao Trabalhadores 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tombense 49%, draw 25%, Uniao Trabalhadores 27%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tombense 1–0 Uniao Trabalhadores. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tombense49%fair 2.06 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.85
Uniao Trabalhadores27%fair 3.74 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.21Tombense xG
0.79Uniao Trabalhadores xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tombense 1.2 – 0.8 Uniao Trabalhadores expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tombense to win✗
49%
2.06
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Tombense (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Uniao Trabalhadores +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Tombense to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tombense / FT Tombense✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.75
–
Recent results
Tombense – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Uniao Trabalhadores – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Cruzeiro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and Uniao Trabalhadores.
What is the prediction for Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
On our numbers Tombense have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Uniao Trabalhadores 27%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Our predicted score is Tombense 1–0 Uniao Trabalhadores, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.