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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wolves v Liverpool: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Molineux Stadium

Wolves

WWLDW
1–3
FT
Wolves 25%Draw 22%Liverpool 54% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.85
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool to win ✓54% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Wolves vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wolves welcome Liverpool to Molineux Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Friday 6 March (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Wolves, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Liverpool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Wolves 2–1 Liverpool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wolves 1.4 xG, Liverpool 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wolves 25%, draw 22%, Liverpool 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolves 1–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wolves25%fair 4.08 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.45
Liverpool54%fair 1.86 · @1.50
3.25Expected goals
1.40Wolves xG
1.85Liverpool xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%

From our goals model: Wolves 1.4 – 1.8 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool to win ✓54%1.861.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Draw no betLiverpool (draw no bet) ✓69%1.46–
Asian handicapWolves +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
First team to scoreLiverpool to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool / FT Liverpool ✗29%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Wolves – last 5

WWLDW
3 Marvs Liverpool2–1W
27 Febvs Aston Villa2–0W
22 Feb@ Crystal Palace0–1L
18 Febvs Arsenal2–2D
15 Feb@ Grimsby1–0W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Liverpool – last 2

LW
3 Mar@ Wolves1–2L
22 Feb@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Wolves v Liverpool2–1
Wolves vs Liverpool head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs Liverpool?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Wolves vs Liverpool?

On our numbers Wolves have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liverpool 54%.

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Liverpool?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Liverpool?

Our predicted score is Wolves 1–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Wolves vs Liverpool?

Wolves vs Liverpool (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.