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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Adamstown Rosebuds v Belmont Swansea: numbers & prediction

Northern NSW NPL · Australia

Adamstown Rosebuds

LLLWL
2–2
FT

Belmont Swansea

WWDWW
Adamstown Rosebuds 30%Draw 22%Belmont Swansea 48% Expected goals 1.92 – 2.13
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Adamstown Rosebuds to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBelmont Swansea to win ✗48% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.20

Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:30 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Adamstown Rosebuds v Belmont Swansea in the Northern NSW NPL.

Current form

Adamstown Rosebuds, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cooks Hill United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Belmont Swansea, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lambton Jaffas, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Belmont Swansea, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Adamstown Rosebuds 1.9 xG, Belmont Swansea 2.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Adamstown Rosebuds 30%, draw 22%, Belmont Swansea 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Adamstown Rosebuds to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adamstown Rosebuds 1–2 Belmont Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Adamstown Rosebuds30%fair 3.35 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.70
Belmont Swansea48%fair 2.07 · @1.75
4.05Expected goals
1.92Adamstown Rosebuds xG
2.13Belmont Swansea xG
69%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Adamstown Rosebuds 1.9 – 2.1 Belmont Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelmont Swansea to win ✗48%2.071.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.44
Draw no betBelmont Swansea (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapAdamstown Rosebuds +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
First team to scoreBelmont Swansea to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultBelmont Swansea ahead at half-time ✓36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belmont Swansea / FT Belmont Swansea ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.20–

Recent results

Adamstown Rosebuds – last 6

LLLWLD
2 May@ Cooks Hill United1–3L
29 Aprvs Lambton Jaffas1–2L
25 Aprvs Weston Bears0–2L
18 Apr@ Valentine3–0W
11 Aprvs Maitland2–5L
1 Apr@ Hamilton Olympic2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Belmont Swansea – last 6

WWDWWD
2 May@ Lambton Jaffas2–1W
26 Aprvs Kahibah5–3W
19 Aprvs Hamilton Olympic2–2D
11 Aprvs Edgeworth Eagles4–3W
27 Marvs Charlestown City Blues2–0W
21 Mar@ Broadmeadow Magic2–2D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Adamstown Rosebuds and Belmont Swansea.

Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea head-to-head page →

More Northern NSW NPL predictions

FT Weston Bears0 Valentine2 169%1.17X19%7.50212%10.00 2.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✗
FT Edgeworth Eagles3 Maitland1 149%1.95X22%3.60229%3.00 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

On our numbers Adamstown Rosebuds have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belmont Swansea 48%.

How many goals will there be in Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

Our predicted score is Adamstown Rosebuds 1–2 Belmont Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?

Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.