Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultLions to win ✗64% · @1.48
Double chanceLions or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Lions vs Gold Coast Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Friday 27 February: Lions v Gold Coast Knights in the Queensland NPL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lions 2.4 xG, Gold Coast Knights 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 64%, draw 21%, Gold Coast Knights 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lions to win (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 2–1 Gold Coast Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lions64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.95
Gold Coast Knights15%fair 6.79 · @5.25
3.49Expected goals
2.38Lions xG
1.11Gold Coast Knights xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lions 2.4 – 1.1 Gold Coast Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Double chance
Lions or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Lions (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Lions to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Lions – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Olympic
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gold Coast Knights – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Moreton City Excelsior
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lions and Gold Coast Knights.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our pick is Lions to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
On our numbers Lions have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gold Coast Knights 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Gold Coast Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Lions vs Gold Coast Knights (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
