Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brisbane City welcome Moreton City Excelsior for a Queensland NPL fixture on Saturday 28 February (09:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brisbane City 2.0 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 2.2 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brisbane City 30%, draw 20%, Moreton City Excelsior 50%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brisbane City 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brisbane City30%fair 3.30 · @3.25
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.80
Moreton City Excelsior50%fair 2.01 · @1.85
4.18Expected goals
1.95Brisbane City xG
2.23Moreton City Excelsior xG
71%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Brisbane City 2.0 – 2.2 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
50%
2.01
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.48
–
Recent results
Brisbane City – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar II
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Moreton City Excelsior – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brisbane City and Moreton City Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Brisbane City have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Moreton City Excelsior 50%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Brisbane City 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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