Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Moreton City Excelsior v Rochedale Rovers in the Queensland NPL.
Current form
Moreton City Excelsior, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to WDSC Wolves, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Rochedale Rovers, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brisbane Roar II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 2.4 xG, Rochedale Rovers 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 62%, draw 19%, Rochedale Rovers 19%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Rochedale Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreton City Excelsior62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.75
Rochedale Rovers19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
3.68Expected goals
2.39Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.29Rochedale Rovers xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.4 – 1.3 Rochedale Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Moreton City Excelsior -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Moreton City Excelsior – last 3
LLW
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Brisbane City
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rochedale Rovers – last 4
WLLL
14 Mar
vs Brisbane Roar II
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Lions
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Gold Coast United
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreton City Excelsior and Rochedale Rovers.
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rochedale Rovers 19%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Rochedale Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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