Peninsula Power 44%Draw 22%Moreton City Excelsior 34%Expected goals 1.87 – 1.50
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultPeninsula Power to win ✗44% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peninsula Power welcome Moreton City Excelsior for a Queensland NPL fixture on Saturday 18 April (08:00 WAT).
Current form
Peninsula Power, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brisbane Roar II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gold Coast United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peninsula Power 1.9 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peninsula Power 44%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 34%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peninsula Power 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peninsula Power44%fair 2.29 · @2.33
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Moreton City Excelsior34%fair 2.94 · @2.50
3.37Expected goals
1.87Peninsula Power xG
1.50Moreton City Excelsior xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Peninsula Power 1.9 – 1.5 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peninsula Power to win✗
44%
2.29
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Draw no bet
Peninsula Power (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Moreton City Excelsior +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Peninsula Power to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peninsula Power / FT Peninsula Power✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Peninsula Power – last 6
LWWDDW
12 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar II
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Gold Coast United
4–2
W
13 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Olympic
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Magic United
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Moreton City Excelsior – last 6
WWWWLL
11 Apr
vs Gold Coast United
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Magic United
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Brisbane City
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peninsula Power and Moreton City Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Peninsula Power have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreton City Excelsior 34%.
How many goals will there be in Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Peninsula Power 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Magic United0
Eastern Suburbs2