Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brisbane Roar II travel to face Moreton City Excelsior on Saturday 25 April in the Queensland NPL – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Peninsula Power, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Brisbane Roar II, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Olympic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Brisbane Roar II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 2.5 xG, Brisbane Roar II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 66%, draw 18%, Brisbane Roar II 15%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane Roar II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreton City Excelsior66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @5.25
Brisbane Roar II15%fair 6.48 · @6.20
3.73Expected goals
2.48Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.25Brisbane Roar II xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.5 – 1.3 Brisbane Roar II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
66%
1.51
1.33
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Moreton City Excelsior -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Moreton City Excelsior – last 6
WWWWWL
18 Apr
@ Peninsula Power
4–1
W
11 Apr
vs Gold Coast United
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Magic United
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Brisbane Roar II – last 6
LWLWLL
19 Apr
vs Olympic
1–5
L
12 Apr
vs Peninsula Power
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Magic United
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs WDSC Wolves
3–2
W
14 Mar
@ Rochedale Rovers
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Gold Coast United
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreton City Excelsior and Brisbane Roar II.
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brisbane Roar II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane Roar II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Peninsula Power3
Lions2
Eastern Suburbs6
Rochedale Rovers1