Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the Queensland NPL brings Moreton City Excelsior against Brisbane City. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Olympic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Brisbane City, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Peninsula Power, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Brisbane City.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Brisbane City 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 2.5 xG, Brisbane City 1.6 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 58%, draw 20%, Brisbane City 21%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreton City Excelsior58%fair 1.72 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.50
Brisbane City21%fair 4.66 · @4.80
4.06Expected goals
2.46Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.60Brisbane City xG
72%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
1–25%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.5 – 1.6 Brisbane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
58%
1.72
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.53
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brisbane City 21%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
WDSC Wolves2
Olympic1