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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gold Coast Knights v Lions: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia
2–1
FT

Lions

WWWWW
Gold Coast Knights 24%Draw 23%Lions 53% Expected goals 1.38 – 2.06
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLions to win ✗53% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Gold Coast Knights vs Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gold Coast Knights welcome Lions for a Queensland NPL fixture on Tuesday 7 July (10:30 WAT).

Current form

Gold Coast Knights, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Moreton City Excelsior, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Lions, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olympic, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Lions, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Gold Coast Knights.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Lions 2–2 Gold Coast Knights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gold Coast Knights 1.4 xG, Lions 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gold Coast Knights 24%, draw 23%, Lions 53%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gold Coast Knights 1–2 Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gold Coast Knights24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.00
Lions53%fair 1.89 · @1.75
3.44Expected goals
1.38Gold Coast Knights xG
2.06Lions xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
2–26%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gold Coast Knights 1.4 – 2.1 Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLions to win ✗53%1.891.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.30
Draw no betLions (draw no bet) ✗68%1.46–
Asian handicapGold Coast Knights +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreLions to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLions ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Gold Coast Knights – last 6

WLWWWL
4 Julvs Moreton City Excelsior2–1W
26 Jun@ Rochedale Rovers1–4L
23 Junvs Eastern Suburbs4–1W
19 Junvs Magic United2–1W
5 Junvs Olympic5–2W
15 May@ Peninsula Power0–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lions – last 6

WWWWWW
4 Julvs Olympic2–0W
28 Junvs WDSC Wolves6–2W
21 Junvs Rochedale Rovers2–1W
6 Jun@ Brisbane City4–0W
31 May@ Magic United5–3W
15 May@ Brisbane Roar II3–1W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Lions v Gold Coast Knights2–2
Gold Coast Knights vs Lions head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Knights vs Lions?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Gold Coast Knights vs Lions?

On our numbers Gold Coast Knights have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lions 53%.

How many goals will there be in Gold Coast Knights vs Lions?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gold Coast Knights vs Lions?

Our predicted score is Gold Coast Knights 1–2 Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Gold Coast Knights vs Lions?

Gold Coast Knights vs Lions (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.