Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moreton City Excelsior travel to face Rochedale Rovers on Tuesday 16 June in the Queensland NPL – the ball rolls at 10:15 WAT.
Current form
Rochedale Rovers, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Peninsula Power, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Eastern Suburbs, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Rochedale Rovers.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Moreton City Excelsior 3–1 Rochedale Rovers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochedale Rovers 1.5 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 2.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochedale Rovers 21%, draw 21%, Moreton City Excelsior 58%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochedale Rovers21%fair 4.70 · @5.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.80
Moreton City Excelsior58%fair 1.73 · @1.40
3.72Expected goals
1.50Rochedale Rovers xG
2.22Moreton City Excelsior xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Rochedale Rovers 1.5 – 2.2 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
58%
1.73
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Rochedale Rovers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
What is the prediction for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Rochedale Rovers have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreton City Excelsior 58%.
How many goals will there be in Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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