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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Eastern Suburbs v Moreton City Excelsior: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia
Eastern Suburbs 35%Draw 22%Moreton City Excelsior 42% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.85
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Friday 5 June: Eastern Suburbs v Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL.

Current form

Eastern Suburbs, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Brisbane Roar II, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Brisbane City, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Eastern Suburbs, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Moreton City Excelsior.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Moreton City Excelsior 3–0 Eastern Suburbs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eastern Suburbs 1.7 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Eastern Suburbs 35%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eastern Suburbs 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eastern Suburbs35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
Moreton City Excelsior42%fair 2.37 · @2.20
3.53Expected goals
1.67Eastern Suburbs xG
1.85Moreton City Excelsior xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Eastern Suburbs 1.7 – 1.9 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✗42%2.372.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗70%1.421.28
Draw no betMoreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapEastern Suburbs +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.991.95
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.451.42
First team to scoreMoreton City Excelsior to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Eastern Suburbs – last 6

WWWWWL
24 May@ Brisbane Roar II3–1W
10 Mayvs Gold Coast United2–1W
25 Aprvs Rochedale Rovers6–1W
18 Apr@ Magic United2–0W
11 Apr@ Olympic2–1W
28 Mar@ Moreton City Excelsior0–3L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Moreton City Excelsior – last 6

LWLWWW
22 Mayvs Brisbane City2–5L
16 Mayvs Olympic4–3W
9 May@ Lions0–2L
25 Aprvs Brisbane Roar II6–0W
18 Apr@ Peninsula Power4–1W
11 Aprvs Gold Coast United2–1W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Moreton City Excelsior v Eastern Suburbs3–0
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?

On our numbers Eastern Suburbs have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreton City Excelsior 42%.

How many goals will there be in Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our predicted score is Eastern Suburbs 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.