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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lions v Rochedale Rovers: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia

Lions

WWWWL
2–1
FT

Rochedale Rovers

LLWLW
Lions 77%Draw 15%Rochedale Rovers 8% Expected goals 3.03 – 0.97
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLions to win ✓77% · @1.14
Double chanceLions or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14

Lions vs Rochedale Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lions welcome Rochedale Rovers for a Queensland NPL fixture on Sunday 21 June (08:00 WAT).

Current form

Lions, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Brisbane City, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rochedale Rovers, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Moreton City Excelsior, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lions, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Rochedale Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Rochedale Rovers 1–3 Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lions 3.0 xG, Rochedale Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 77%, draw 15%, Rochedale Rovers 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 3–0 Rochedale Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lions77%fair 1.30 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @7.00
Rochedale Rovers8%fair 12.28 · @13.00
4.00Expected goals
3.03Lions xG
0.97Rochedale Rovers xG
63%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–09%
2–08%
3–18%
2–18%
4–06%
4–16%

From our goals model: Lions 3.0 – 1.0 Rochedale Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLions to win ✓77%1.301.14
Double chanceLions or draw ✓92%1.091.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.62
Draw no betLions (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapLions -1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓61%1.641.57
First team to scoreLions to score first ✓74%1.34–
Half-time resultLions ahead at half-time ✓60%1.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✓56%1.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.14–

Recent results

Lions – last 6

WWWWLW
6 Jun@ Brisbane City4–0W
31 May@ Magic United5–3W
15 May@ Brisbane Roar II3–1W
9 Mayvs Moreton City Excelsior2–0W
25 Apr@ Peninsula Power2–3L
19 Aprvs Gold Coast United1–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rochedale Rovers – last 6

LLWLWL
16 Junvs Moreton City Excelsior2–5L
6 Junvs Peninsula Power0–2L
3 Junvs Magic United4–0W
23 May@ Gold Coast United0–4L
10 Mayvs Olympic3–1W
25 Apr@ Eastern Suburbs1–6L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Rochedale Rovers v Lions1–3
Lions vs Rochedale Rovers head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

FT Olympic1 Peninsula Power3 123%4.75X21%4.20256%1.53 1.5–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

On our numbers Lions have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Rochedale Rovers 8%.

How many goals will there be in Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

Our predicted score is Lions 3–0 Rochedale Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Lions vs Rochedale Rovers?

Lions vs Rochedale Rovers (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.