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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gold Coast United v Moreton City Excelsior: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia

Gold Coast United

LLLLW
0–1
FT

Moreton City Excelsior

DWDLW
Gold Coast United 20%Draw 22%Moreton City Excelsior 58% Expected goals 1.33 – 2.04
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✓58% · @1.35
Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓80% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 28 June the Queensland NPL brings Gold Coast United against Moreton City Excelsior. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Gold Coast United, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Brisbane Roar II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with WDSC Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Gold Coast United.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Gold Coast United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gold Coast United 1.3 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 2.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gold Coast United 20%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gold Coast United 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gold Coast United20%fair 5.10 · @6.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Moreton City Excelsior58%fair 1.72 · @1.35
3.37Expected goals
1.33Gold Coast United xG
2.04Moreton City Excelsior xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–36%
2–26%

From our goals model: Gold Coast United 1.3 – 2.0 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✓58%1.721.35
Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓80%1.241.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betMoreton City Excelsior (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapGold Coast United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.851.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.381.33
First team to scoreMoreton City Excelsior to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultMoreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior ✗34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Gold Coast United – last 6

LLLLWL
20 Junvs Brisbane Roar II1–4L
13 Junvs Brisbane City0–2L
7 Junvs WDSC Wolves1–2L
30 Mayvs Peninsula Power0–4L
23 Mayvs Rochedale Rovers4–0W
10 May@ Eastern Suburbs1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Moreton City Excelsior – last 6

DWDLWL
20 Junvs WDSC Wolves2–2D
16 Jun@ Rochedale Rovers5–2W
5 Jun@ Eastern Suburbs0–0D
22 Mayvs Brisbane City2–5L
16 Mayvs Olympic4–3W
9 May@ Lions0–2L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Moreton City Excelsior v Gold Coast United2–1
Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

FT Lions6 WDSC Wolves2 168%1.40X18%4.80214%5.80 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

On our numbers Gold Coast United have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreton City Excelsior 58%.

How many goals will there be in Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our predicted score is Gold Coast United 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.