Moreton City Excelsior 72%Draw 16%Magic United 12%Expected goals 2.79 – 1.28
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✓72% · @1.12
Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Magic United travel to face Moreton City Excelsior on Saturday 11 July in the Queensland NPL – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gold Coast Knights, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Magic United, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gold Coast United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Magic United 0–5 Moreton City Excelsior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 2.8 xG, Magic United 1.3 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 72%, draw 16%, Magic United 12%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Magic United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreton City Excelsior72%fair 1.39 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @7.20
Magic United12%fair 8.53 · @14.00
4.07Expected goals
2.79Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.28Magic United xG
63%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.8 – 1.3 Magic United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
72%
1.39
1.12
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Moreton City Excelsior -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Magic United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Magic United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
