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Brisbane Roar II v Rochedale Rovers: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia
Brisbane Roar II 40%Draw 21%Rochedale Rovers 39% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.77
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Brisbane Roar II to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBrisbane Roar II to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27

Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Friday 10 July: Brisbane Roar II v Rochedale Rovers in the Queensland NPL.

Current form

Brisbane Roar II, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brisbane City, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Rochedale Rovers, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with WDSC Wolves, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Rochedale Rovers, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Brisbane Roar II.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Rochedale Rovers 1–0 Brisbane Roar II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brisbane Roar II 1.9 xG, Rochedale Rovers 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brisbane Roar II 40%, draw 21%, Rochedale Rovers 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
  • Price worth noting: Brisbane Roar II to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brisbane Roar II 2–1 Rochedale Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brisbane Roar II40%fair 2.51 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
Rochedale Rovers39%fair 2.55 · @2.00
3.70Expected goals
1.93Brisbane Roar II xG
1.77Rochedale Rovers xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Brisbane Roar II 1.9 – 1.8 Rochedale Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrisbane Roar II to win ✓40%2.512.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.35
Draw no betBrisbane Roar II (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapRochedale Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.961.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
First team to scoreBrisbane Roar II to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brisbane Roar II / FT Brisbane Roar II ✓26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

Brisbane Roar II – last 6

DLWLLL
5 Jul@ Brisbane City1–1D
27 Jun@ Peninsula Power1–3L
20 Jun@ Gold Coast United4–1W
6 Jun@ Magic United1–2L
2 Jun@ WDSC Wolves1–2L
24 Mayvs Eastern Suburbs1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rochedale Rovers – last 6

DWLLLW
3 Jul@ WDSC Wolves1–1D
26 Junvs Gold Coast Knights4–1W
21 Jun@ Lions1–2L
16 Junvs Moreton City Excelsior2–5L
6 Junvs Peninsula Power0–2L
3 Junvs Magic United4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Rochedale Rovers v Brisbane Roar II1–0
Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

On our numbers Brisbane Roar II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rochedale Rovers 39%.

How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar II 2–1 Rochedale Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers?

Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.