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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gold Coast Knights v Brisbane City: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia

Gold Coast Knights

WWLWW
0–0
FT

Brisbane City

DWLWL
Gold Coast Knights 55%Draw 21%Brisbane City 23% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.54
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGold Coast Knights to win ✗55% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Queensland NPL brings Gold Coast Knights against Brisbane City. Kick-off: 07:30 WAT.

Current form

Gold Coast Knights, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lions, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Brisbane City, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brisbane Roar II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Gold Coast Knights, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Brisbane City.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Brisbane City 2–4 Gold Coast Knights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gold Coast Knights 2.3 xG, Brisbane City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gold Coast Knights 55%, draw 21%, Brisbane City 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gold Coast Knights 2–1 Brisbane City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gold Coast Knights55%fair 1.80 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.40
Brisbane City23%fair 4.31 · @3.90
3.86Expected goals
2.32Gold Coast Knights xG
1.54Brisbane City xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Gold Coast Knights 2.3 – 1.5 Brisbane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGold Coast Knights to win ✗55%1.801.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗70%1.441.30
Draw no betGold Coast Knights (draw no bet)70%1.42–
Asian handicapBrisbane City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.841.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.551.45
First team to scoreGold Coast Knights to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultGold Coast Knights ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gold Coast Knights / FT Gold Coast Knights ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.44–

Recent results

Gold Coast Knights – last 6

WWLWWW
7 Julvs Lions2–1W
4 Julvs Moreton City Excelsior2–1W
26 Jun@ Rochedale Rovers1–4L
23 Junvs Eastern Suburbs4–1W
19 Junvs Magic United2–1W
5 Junvs Olympic5–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Brisbane City – last 6

DWLWLW
5 Julvs Brisbane Roar II1–1D
27 Jun@ Magic United5–3W
20 Jun@ Eastern Suburbs1–3L
13 Jun@ Gold Coast United2–0W
6 Junvs Lions0–4L
31 May@ Olympic3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Brisbane City v Gold Coast Knights2–4
Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

FT Gold Coast United3 Olympic0 131%3.35X22%4.00247%1.80 1.6–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.38 ✓
FT Lions1 Eastern Suburbs0 167%1.48X18%4.60215%5.00 2.6–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

On our numbers Gold Coast Knights have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brisbane City 23%.

How many goals will there be in Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Our predicted score is Gold Coast Knights 2–1 Brisbane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.