Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Queensland NPL brings Moreton City Excelsior against Peninsula Power. Kick-off: 07:30 WAT.
Current form
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Magic United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Peninsula Power, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to APIA Leichhardt Tigers, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Peninsula Power 1–4 Moreton City Excelsior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreton City Excelsior 1.8 xG, Peninsula Power 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreton City Excelsior 42%, draw 22%, Peninsula Power 36%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreton City Excelsior 1–1 Peninsula Power. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreton City Excelsior42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
Peninsula Power36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
3.58Expected goals
1.84Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.74Peninsula Power xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 1.8 – 1.7 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
42%
2.40
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Peninsula Power +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peninsula Power 36%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 1–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Gold Coast United0
Lions1
Gold Coast Knights1
WDSC Wolves2
Rochedale Rovers2
Brisbane City3
Eastern Suburbs1
Magic United4