Value bet: Lions to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLions to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Lions vs Peninsula Power: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peninsula Power travel to face Lions on Saturday 1 August in the Queensland NPL – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Lions, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Perth Glory, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Peninsula Power, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Moreton City Excelsior, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Peninsula Power 3–2 Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lions 2.2 xG, Peninsula Power 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 55%, draw 22%, Peninsula Power 23%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Lions to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lions55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.80
Peninsula Power23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
3.43Expected goals
2.16Lions xG
1.27Peninsula Power xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lions 2.2 – 1.3 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Lions vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Lions have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peninsula Power 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Lions vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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