Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brisbane Roar II welcome Moreton City Excelsior for a Queensland NPL fixture on Sunday 2 August (05:30 WAT).
Current form
Brisbane Roar II, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Olympic, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Peninsula Power, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Brisbane Roar II.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Moreton City Excelsior 6–0 Brisbane Roar II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brisbane Roar II 1.5 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 2.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brisbane Roar II 21%, draw 20%, Moreton City Excelsior 58%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brisbane Roar II 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brisbane Roar II21%fair 4.70 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.60
Moreton City Excelsior58%fair 1.71 · @1.48
3.80Expected goals
1.53Brisbane Roar II xG
2.26Moreton City Excelsior xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Brisbane Roar II 1.5 – 2.3 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
58%
1.71
1.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Draw no bet
Moreton City Excelsior (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane Roar II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
First team to score
Moreton City Excelsior to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Brisbane Roar II have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Moreton City Excelsior 58%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar II 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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