Value bet: Malisheva to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMalisheva to win38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.78
Gjilani vs Malisheva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gjilani welcome Malisheva for a Superliga fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:00 WAT). In the table, Gjilani are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Malisheva are 2nd (among the top four) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gjilani 1.3 xG, Malisheva 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gjilani 36%, draw 26%, Malisheva 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Malisheva to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gjilani 1–1 Malisheva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gjilani36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Malisheva38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.62Expected goals
1.26Gjilani xG
1.36Malisheva xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gjilani 1.3 – 1.4 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malisheva to win
38%
2.64
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Malisheva (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Gjilani +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Malisheva to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malisheva / FT Malisheva
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Gjilani – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Prishtina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Dukagjini
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Malisheva – last 2
DW
21 Feb
vs Dukagjini
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Ballkani
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gjilani and Malisheva.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gjilani vs Malisheva?
On our numbers Gjilani have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Malisheva 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gjilani vs Malisheva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gjilani vs Malisheva?
Our predicted score is Gjilani 1–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gjilani vs Malisheva?
Gjilani vs Malisheva (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Prishtina e Re1