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Tractor Sazi v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: numbers & prediction

AFC Champions League · Asia · Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Tractor Sazi 26%Draw 27%Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 47% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.26
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShabab Al Ahli Dubai to win ✓47% · @1.71
Double chanceShabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw ✓74% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 14 April the AFC Champions League brings Tractor Sazi against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, Tractor Sazi are 13th, lower half, on 2 points after 4 matches; Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 4th (among the top four) with 9.

Current form

Tractor Sazi, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gol Gohar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Al Ain, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Tractor Sazi, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tractor Sazi 1.1 xG, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tractor Sazi 26%, draw 27%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 47%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw (74%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tractor Sazi 1–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tractor Sazi26%fair 3.90 · @4.60
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai47%fair 2.11 · @1.71
2.34Expected goals
1.08Tractor Sazi xG
1.26Shabab Al Ahli Dubai xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Tractor Sazi 1.1 – 1.3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShabab Al Ahli Dubai to win ✓47%2.111.71
Double chanceShabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw ✓74%1.341.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.93 ▲
Draw no betShabab Al Ahli Dubai (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapTractor Sazi +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreShabab Al Ahli Dubai to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / FT Shabab Al Ahli Dubai ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Tractor Sazi – last 3

WDW
26 Febvs Gol Gohar1–0W
22 Feb@ Malavan1–1D
17 Feb@ Al-Gharafa2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai – last 6

LWWDWL
10 Apr@ Al Ain2–3L
16 Mar@ Dibba Al-Fujairah4–0W
11 Marvs Al-Ittihad Kalba5–1W
25 Feb@ Al-Wasl FC1–1D
20 Feb@ Al-Dhafra5–0W
16 Feb@ Al-Ahli Jeddah3–4L
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tractor Sazi and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai head-to-head page →

AFC Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain4400+1112
2Al-Hilal Saudi FC4301+39
3Esteghlal FC4301+39
4Shabab Al Ahli Dubai4301+29
5Al-Qadisiyah FC4220+68
6Al-Ahli Jeddah4220+38
7Al-Nassr3201+26
8Al Shamal4121+15
9Neftchi4112-24
10Al-Ittihad FC4112-34
11Al-Wasl FC3102-23
12Al Quwa Al Jawiya4103-43
13Tractor Sazi4022-22
14Pakhtakor4022-52
15Al Sadd4022-52
16Al-Gharafa4004-80

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

On our numbers Tractor Sazi have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 47%.

How many goals will there be in Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

Our predicted score is Tractor Sazi 1–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

Tractor Sazi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.