USM Alger 57%Draw 23%Maniema Union 20%Expected goals 1.61 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUSM Alger to win57% · @1.36
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw80% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.51
USM Alger vs Maniema Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: USM Alger v Maniema Union in the CAF Confederation Cup, played at Stade du 5 Juillet. In the table, USM Alger are 1st on 14 points after 6 matches; Maniema Union are 2nd with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
USM Alger, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ES Setif, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maniema Union, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over USM Alger, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Maniema Union, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for USM Alger.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Maniema Union 2–1 USM Alger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USM Alger 1.6 xG, Maniema Union 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USM Alger 57%, draw 23%, Maniema Union 20%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Alger 1–1 Maniema Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USM Alger57%fair 1.74 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.10
Maniema Union20%fair 4.98 · @8.20
2.67Expected goals
1.61USM Alger xG
1.06Maniema Union xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: USM Alger 1.6 – 1.1 Maniema Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for USM Alger vs Maniema Union?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win USM Alger vs Maniema Union?
On our numbers USM Alger have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maniema Union 20%.
How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs Maniema Union?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs Maniema Union?
Our predicted score is USM Alger 1–1 Maniema Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is USM Alger vs Maniema Union?
USM Alger vs Maniema Union (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 5 Juillet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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