Falkirk vs Dundee Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkirk welcome Dundee Utd to Falkirk Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT).
Current form
Dundee Utd, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ST Mirren, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Falkirk 1.7 xG, Dundee Utd 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Falkirk 56%, draw 24%, Dundee Utd 21%.
Lower-risk option: Falkirk or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkirk 1–1 Dundee Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Falkirk56%fair 1.79 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.70
Dundee Utd21%fair 4.87 · @4.65
2.62Expected goals
1.68Falkirk xG
0.94Dundee Utd xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Falkirk 1.7 – 0.9 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkirk to win✓
56%
1.79
1.71
Double chance
Falkirk or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Falkirk (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Dundee Utd +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Falkirk to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkirk / FT Falkirk✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Falkirk – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundee Utd – last 4
WDDW
3 Mar
vs ST Mirren
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Aberdeen
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Kilmarnock
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Falkirk and Dundee Utd.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Falkirk vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dundee Utd 21%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Dundee Utd?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs Dundee Utd?
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
