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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Houston FC v Hill Country Lobos: numbers & prediction

USL League Two · USA
4–3
FT
Houston FC 55%Draw 20%Hill Country Lobos 25% Expected goals 2.59 – 1.77
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultHouston FC to win ✓55% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.19

Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Houston FC v Hill Country Lobos in the USL League Two.

Current form

Houston FC, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brazos Valley, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Hill Country Lobos, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Lonestar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston FC 2.6 xG, Hill Country Lobos 1.8 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston FC 55%, draw 20%, Hill Country Lobos 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston FC 2–2 Hill Country Lobos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston FC55%fair 1.82 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Hill Country Lobos25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
4.36Expected goals
2.59Houston FC xG
1.77Hill Country Lobos xG
62%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%

From our goals model: Houston FC 2.6 – 1.8 Hill Country Lobos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston FC to win ✓55%1.821.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.60–
Draw no betHouston FC (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapHill Country Lobos +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.842.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreHouston FC to score first59%1.71–
Half-time resultHouston FC ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston FC / FT Houston FC ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.19–

Recent results

Houston FC – last 6

DLWLLW
1 Julvs Brazos Valley2–2D
28 Jun@ Lonestar1–2L
20 Jun@ Houston Sur3–0W
14 Jun@ San Antonio FC 20–3L
11 Junvs GFI3–6L
6 Jun@ Brazos Valley3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hill Country Lobos – last 6

LWLLWD
30 Junvs Lonestar3–5L
28 Junvs Houston Sur4–0W
24 Junvs Laredo Heat0–5L
21 Jun@ GFI0–4L
15 Jun@ Brazos Valley1–0W
11 Junvs AHFC Royals2–2D
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Houston FC and Hill Country Lobos.

Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos head-to-head page →

More USL League Two predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

On our numbers Houston FC have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hill Country Lobos 25%.

How many goals will there be in Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

Our predicted score is Houston FC 2–2 Hill Country Lobos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos (USL League Two) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.