Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗49% · @1.80
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✗78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Cup, played at Arena Arda.
Current form
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ludogorets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Beroe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.4 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 49%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali49%fair 2.02 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.95
Lokomotiv Plovdiv22%fair 4.53 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.37Arda Kardzhali xG
1.02Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.4 – 1.0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✗
49%
2.02
1.80
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.45
Draw no bet
Arda Kardzhali (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv Plovdiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Arda Kardzhali to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Recent results
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
WLWWWD
15 Apr
vs Ludogorets
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Montana
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Septemvri Sofia
4–1
W
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
DDWWWL
13 Apr
@ Beroe
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
