Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✗76% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 April the Cup brings Ludogorets against CSKA Sofia at Huvepharma Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CSKA Sofia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Levski Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Ludogorets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.6 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 51%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia 24%.
Lower-risk option: Ludogorets or draw (76%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets51%fair 1.96 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.35
CSKA Sofia24%fair 4.09 · @4.50
2.74Expected goals
1.60Ludogorets xG
1.15CSKA Sofia xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.6 – 1.1 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
51%
1.96
1.73
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Ludogorets – last 6
LDWWWW
15 Apr
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs CSKA 1948
3–0
W
19 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
5–1
W
9 Mar
@ Montana
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Apr
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Montana
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSKA Sofia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
