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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets: numbers & prediction

Cup · Bulgaria
0–0
FT
CSKA Sofia 39%Draw 25%Ludogorets 36% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.31
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✗39% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Sofia welcome Ludogorets for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 29 April (17:00 WAT).

Current form

CSKA Sofia, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ludogorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ludogorets, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA 1948, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ludogorets.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–2 CSKA Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 1.5 xG, Ludogorets 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 39%, draw 25%, Ludogorets 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Sofia39%fair 2.57 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
Ludogorets36%fair 2.78 · @2.38
2.77Expected goals
1.45CSKA Sofia xG
1.31Ludogorets xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.5 – 1.3 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Sofia to win ✗39%2.572.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.80 ▲
Draw no betCSKA Sofia (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapLudogorets +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreCSKA Sofia to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

CSKA Sofia – last 6

WDWWWW
21 Apr@ Ludogorets2–1W
13 Aprvs Levski Sofia1–1D
8 Apr@ Montana1–0W
22 Marvs Dobrudzha2–0W
8 Marvs Lokomotiv Sofia2–0W
4 Marvs Botev Vratsa1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

LLLDWW
25 Aprvs CSKA 19481–2L
21 Aprvs CSKA Sofia1–2L
15 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali0–1L
9 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
5 Aprvs CSKA 19483–0W
19 Mar@ Spartak Varna5–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia1–2
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ludogorets 36%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.