Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arda Kardzhali travel to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Thursday 30 April in the Cup, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cherno More Varna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Arda Kardzhali 0–4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.4 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, draw 27%, Arda Kardzhali 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv40%fair 2.48 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Arda Kardzhali32%fair 3.08 · @2.45
2.55Expected goals
1.41Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.13Arda Kardzhali xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.4 – 1.1 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arda Kardzhali 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
