Arsenal W vs Chelsea W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Tuesday 24 March: Arsenal W v Chelsea W in the UEFA Champions League Women, played at Emirates Stadium. In the table, Arsenal W are 5th, upper half, on 7 points after 3 matches; Chelsea W are 3rd (among the top four) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal W, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over London City Lionesses, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Chelsea W, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brighton W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Chelsea W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal W 1.5 xG, Chelsea W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal W 42%, draw 26%, Chelsea W 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal W42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.60
Chelsea W32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
2.72Expected goals
1.47Arsenal W xG
1.26Chelsea W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal W 1.5 – 1.3 Chelsea W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal W
Chelsea W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average
+5%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-46%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.00
Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✓
42%
2.37
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.66
Draw no bet
Arsenal W (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Arsenal W to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Arsenal W – last 3
WWW
15 Mar
@ London City Lionesses
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Bristol City W
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs OH Leuven W
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelsea W – last 4
WWDW
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester United W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Liverpool W
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal W and Chelsea W.
What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
On our numbers Arsenal W have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chelsea W 32%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Our predicted score is Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Arsenal W vs Chelsea W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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