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Chelsea W v Arsenal W: numbers & prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · Europe · Stamford Bridge
1–0
FT
Chelsea W 46%Draw 25%Arsenal W 29% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.15
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea W to win ✓46% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Chelsea W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Chelsea W v Arsenal W in the UEFA Champions League Women, played at Stamford Bridge. In the table, Chelsea W are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Arsenal W are 5th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chelsea W, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Aston Villa W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Arsenal W, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chelsea W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Chelsea W.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Arsenal W 3–1 Chelsea W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 1.7 xG, Arsenal W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 46%, draw 25%, Arsenal W 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea W46%fair 2.16 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.75
Arsenal W29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
2.83Expected goals
1.68Chelsea W xG
1.15Arsenal W xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.7 – 1.2 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Chelsea WArsenal W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average-13%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-46%-22%
Our expected goals here1.400.82

Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea W to win ✓46%2.162.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.55
Draw no betChelsea W (draw no bet) ✓62%1.63–
Asian handicapArsenal W +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
First team to scoreChelsea W to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Chelsea W – last 6

WLWWDW
29 Marvs Aston Villa W4–3W
24 Mar@ Arsenal W1–3L
18 Marvs Brighton W2–1W
15 Marvs Manchester United W2–0W
22 Febvs Manchester United W1–1D
15 Febvs Liverpool W2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arsenal W – last 4

WWWW
24 Marvs Chelsea W3–1W
15 Mar@ London City Lionesses2–0W
22 Febvs Bristol City W3–0W
18 Febvs OH Leuven W3–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Arsenal W v Chelsea W3–1
Chelsea W vs Arsenal W head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W3300+179
2Bayern Munich W4220+48
3Chelsea W4220+38
4Lyon W3210+147
5Arsenal W3210+47
6Juventus W3201+56
7Manchester City W4130+36
8Real Madrid W4130+36
9Paris Saint Germain W4121+45
10Roma W4112-74
11Inter Milano W4112-84
12Køge W3102-53
13SL Benfica W3102-53
14Servette Chênois W4103-93
15Häcken W4022-42
16Paris FC W4022-62
17Austria Wien W3012-41
18OH Leuven W3012-91

More UEFA Champions League Women predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

On our numbers Chelsea W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal W 29%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Chelsea W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.