Chelsea W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Chelsea W v Arsenal W in the UEFA Champions League Women, played at Stamford Bridge. In the table, Chelsea W are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Arsenal W are 5th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chelsea W, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Aston Villa W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Arsenal W, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chelsea W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Chelsea W.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Arsenal W 3–1 Chelsea W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 1.7 xG, Arsenal W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 46%, draw 25%, Arsenal W 29%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea W46%fair 2.16 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.75
Arsenal W29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
2.83Expected goals
1.68Chelsea W xG
1.15Arsenal W xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.7 – 1.2 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelsea W
Arsenal W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average
-13%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-46%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.40
0.82
Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal W 29%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Chelsea W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.