Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Manila Digger to win @ 2.45 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultManila Digger to win ✓50% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Manila Digger vs Kaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Manila Digger v Kaya in the PFL. In the table, Manila Digger are 1st on 63 points after 26 matches; Kaya are 3rd with 48. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manila Digger 2.4 xG, Kaya 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manila Digger 50%, draw 25%, Kaya 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Manila Digger to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manila Digger 2–1 Kaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manila Digger50%fair 2.02 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.90
Kaya26%fair 3.91 · @2.62
3.62Expected goals
2.38Manila Digger xG
1.23Kaya xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Manila Digger 2.4 – 1.2 Kaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manila Digger to win✓
50%
2.02
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Manila Digger (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Manila Digger -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
First team to score
Manila Digger to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Manila Digger ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manila Digger / FT Manila Digger✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Manila Digger – last 1
W
25 Feb
vs Garelli United
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kaya – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Taguig
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Tuloy
9–1
W
4.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manila Digger and Kaya.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Manila Digger vs Kaya?
On our numbers Manila Digger have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kaya 26%.
How many goals will there be in Manila Digger vs Kaya?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manila Digger vs Kaya?
Our predicted score is Manila Digger 2–1 Kaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Manila Digger vs Kaya?
Manila Digger vs Kaya (PFL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
